UEFA EURO 2012 sponsor, Castrol EDGE has revealed that Fabio Capello’s England side has a 8.8% chance of winning UEFA EURO 2012 and are 4th most likely to be crowned European Champions. The insight comes from the new Castrol EDGE Calculator tool which launched yesterday.
England were drawn in Group D alongside France, Sweden and hosts, the Ukraine at the UEFA EURO 2012 draw which took place in Kiev last Friday. Using the latest technology and data analysis techniques to identify which nations have the strongest chance of success at UEFA EURO 2012, the Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that England are most likely to progress to the quarter final stages (64%), with a strong chance of making the Semi Finals (33.8%).
Looking more closely at England’s group, the Castrol EDGE Calculator predicts that England should win the group, but the other three teams will hotly contest the coveted second place spot- with the Ukraine on 49.2%, France on 45% and Sweden on 41.7%.
The Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that the eight teams with the strongest chance of making it to the knock out stages of the competition are; Spain, the Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Sweden, and France.
The Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that Spain and the Netherlands-two of Europe’s strongest football nations are favourites to go head to head in the UEFA EURO 2012 Final on 1st July in Kiev, with Spain most likely to be crowned Champions of Europe. Portugal are perhaps the surprise package, who despite struggling in qualification, are still statistical considered to have a strong chance of success, at 8.4% and 5th favorites to lift the trophy.
First launched for the 2010 FIFA World Cup where it accurately predicted nearly 70% of teams’ progression, Castrol EDGE has applied the same expertise they apply to the development of their strongest ever oil to create the Castrol EDGE Calculator.
Created by the same team of Castrol EDGE Performance Analysts behind the Castrol EDGE Rankings, it calculates the attack and defence ratings of each nation. Then by simulating the tournament over 100,000 times, and taking into account the draw groupings, the Calculator can predict how successful nations will be in their groups, whether or not they’ll progress to the knock out stages, and ultimately each nation’s chance of winning the tournament.
Fans can find the Castrol EDGE Calculator on castroledge.com/euro2012, where it will be updated after each UEFA EURO 2012 game so they can see the impact of every match result on their nation’s chances.
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